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The Future of Humanity

Author: Nick Bostrom
Organisation: Oxford University
Publish Date: 2007
Country: Global
Sector: Social Development
Method: Scenarios
Theme: Strategic Thinking
Type: Article
Tags: Technological changes, Extinction, Environmental threats, Recurrent collapse, Plareau, Posthumanity

The future of humanity is often viewed as a topic for idle speculation. Yet our beliefs and assumptions on this subject matter shape decisions in both our personal lives and public policy – decisions that have very real and sometimes unfortunate consequences. It is therefore practically important to try to develop a realistic mode of futuristic thought about big picture questions for humanity. This paper sketches an overview of some recent attempts in this direction, and it offers a brief discussion of four families of scenarios for humanity’s future: extinction, recurrent collapse, plateau, and posthumanity.
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