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Potential effect of climate change on malaria transmission in Africa

Author: Frank C Tanser, Brian Sharp, David le Sueur
Organisation: The Lancet, Vol 362: 1792–98
Publish Date: 2003
Country: Africa
Sector: Environmental
Method: Scenarios
Theme: Climate Change
Type: Journal
Language: English
Tags: Climate change, Scenarios, Malaria

Background Climate change is likely to affect transmission of vector-borne diseases such as malaria. We quantitatively estimated current malaria exposure and assessed the potential effect of projected climate scenarios on malaria transmission. Methods We produced a spatiotemporally validated (against 3791 parasite surveys) model of Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission in Africa. Using different climate scenarios from the Hadley Centre global climate model (HAD CM3) climate experiments, we projected the potential effect of climate change on transmission patterns.
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