Tags: Agriculture, Land use, Scenarios, Livestock, Crops

Creating scenarios is one method of studying the future. Within the framework of the research programme “Future Agriculture – livestock, crops and land use”, five scenarios have been developed for 2050 to illustrate how conditions for agriculture and land use can develop and change. The aim of the study has been to present a number of possible and differing future scenarios to stimulate new thoughts and ideas on future challenges and to identify gaps in knowledge and broad-ranging research issues. The future scenarios have been developed by a group of researchers from the Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Stockholm University, University of Gothenburg and Chalmers University of Technology under the leadership of the Swedish Defence Research Agency. General morphological analysis has been used to build the scenarios. The method has been developed to analyse complex problems in which the causal links between contributory factors are not necessarily known, and in which quantitative as well as qualitative factors may be included.

Five scenarios for 2050.pdf