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Foresight Project on Global Food and Farming Futures

Author: Foresight, UK Government Office of Science
Organisation: Foresight, UK Government Office of Science
Publish Date: January 2011
Country: Global
Sector: Agriculture
Method: Scenarios
Theme: Food
Type: Report
Language: English
Tags: Economic development, Population growth, Agricultural productivity, Climate change, Energy prices, Biofuel production, Livestock products, Food system models

This Project report explores a number of scenarios and simulations using empirical models that incorporate a number of the important yet uncertain drivers of change that will influence developments in the future. Scenario analysis is necessarily limited in scope, including only aspects of drivers for which there are adequate data and models that incorporate them. Uncertainty about the future means that it is not possible to credibly assign probabilities to the absolute results of the scenarios, but the analysis does allow exploration of a range of plausible futures while acknowledging the inherent uncertainties of the approach.
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