Welcome to Foresight For Development

Climate Change

Our selection of videos on this month's theme: The future of climate change.

 

Four Scenarios for low-income countries in 2030

Low-Income countries in 2030 - Reversal of Fortunes
Reversal of Fortunes is a world where many of the low-income countries of the 2010s have rapidly developed – mostly on carbon-intensive pathways – and are now middle-income. But a stronger voice on the world stage is not enough to grant immunity from the impacts of a world urgently decarbonising its economy: these new emerging economies are the least resilient and are suffering the most.

 

Low-income countries in 2030 - Age of Opportunity
Age of Opportunity is a world in which cultural confidence in low-income countries is high. They play a growing role in the world economy and are spearheading a low-carbon energy revolution, leapfrogging the old high-carbon technologies in pursuit of a prosperous and clean future.

 

Low-income countries in 2030 - Coping Alone
Coping Alone is a world in which low-income countries feel increasingly abandoned by a global community preoccupied with high oil prices, economic stagnation and simmering conflict. Regional blocs now focus on their own concerns, such as food security, resource shortages and adapting to climate change.

 

Low-income countries in 2030 - The Greater Good
The Greater Good is a world where people understand that economies rely fundamentally on access to natural resources – and climate change is seen as the ultimate resource crunch. States manage natural resources pragmatically to give the greatest good for the greatest number. Those low-income countries with natural resources prosper; those without have little bargaining power.

 

Imagining the Worst: Foresight, Ethics, and Extreme Climate Scenarios

The conference addresses the nexus of futures studies and ethics studies in the context of climate change with a strong focus on implications of worst case scenarios on governance processes on national, regional (especially Southeast Europe) and global level (e.g. UNFCCC negotiations and preparations for UN Conference on Sustainable Development Rio 2012).

 

Session I: Introduction and Opening:

Session II: Futures Studies, Globalism, and Extreme Climate Scenarios:

Session III: Risks, Disasters and Environmental Governance:

Session IV: Ethics, Responsibility, and Foreknowledge:

Session V: “Doing Foresight” and Global Knowledge Collaboration:

Session VI: Extreme Scenarios – Ideology, Imaginaries, Cultures:

 

What future climate change scenarios are possible?
What future climate change scenarios are possible?

 

Climate Change Thinkers Share Ideas for a Low - Emission Future
Almost 70 of the world's sharpest minds on climate change got together at the World Bank in Washington in July 2011 to find ways to best support the exploding demand from countries for a low carbon future.

 

Climate Change and the Agricultural Adaption
December 8, 2011 - Environmental Earth System Science Assistant Professor and FSE Center Fellow, David Lobell, gives a lecture about the future of climate change and how the agricultural landscape will have to adapt to these changes.

 

Food Security, Food Prices and Climate Change
October 21, 2011 - Professor David Lobell explores the latest trends in global food security and hunger and talks about the link between these and other events going on in the world.

 

Projecting Future Climate (Climate Insights: bite size)
This video explores three development paths or scenarios commonly used by the climate scientists to enhance understanding of potential future climate changes. Future precipitation and temperature projections vary in response to the emission pathway that humanity follows.

 

Climate Change and Transport - A Future Scenario
Climate Change and Transport - A Future Scenario

 

A warning from the future?
The Minister for Future Generations, Septima Tulisa, steps back in time from the year 2050 to give a stark warning about how the world might end up if we don’t start building long-termism into all our decisions.

 

Projecting Future Climate Change, with Steve Schneider
In this tour, Stephen Schneider introduces us to the factors that affect future climate change, how scientists make projections, and what we can do to prevent the worst impacts.

 

Our Legacy, Our Futures: Taking the Longer View
The discussion highlights the systematic failings of our short-term approach to law and democracy, which have culminated in a series of ‘crunches’ including high fuel prices and the risk of peak oil, high food prices, the financial crisis and the climate crisis.

 

Dr. Warren Washington - Modeling Historical and Future Climate Change
IHMC Florida Institute for Human Machine Cognition 2004 Evening Lecture Series

 

Professor Gabriele Hegerl - Climate change: past, present, and future
Gabriele Hegerl is Professor of Climate System Science at the University of Edinburgh.

 

Climate change projections for the African tropics - Podcast

 

 

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