Obesity and Severe Obesity Forecasts Through 2030

Organisation: Elsevier
Publish Date: 2012
Country: Global
Sector: Health
Method: Forecasting
Theme: Food
Type: Article
Language: English
Tags: Obesity, Adult obesity, Forecasts, Nonlinear regression models, Obesity prevalence
This study presents estimates of adult obesity and severe obesity prevalence through 2030 based on nonlinear regression models. The forecasted results are then used to simulate the savings that could be achieved through modestly successful obesity prevention efforts. The study estimates a 33% increase in obesity prevalence and a 130% increase in severe obesity prevalence over the next 2 decades. If these forecasts prove accurate, this will further hinder efforts for healthcare cost containment.
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