Tags: Human Development, Mozambique, alternative futures, scenarios, forecasting

This report uses the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system to analyze and provide an overview of Mozambique’s progress in a historical and regional context, show its expected trajectory across a number of core development sectors, and explore alternative futures through scenario analysis. It explores five-year alternative scenarios that simulate the successful implementation of various health, education, agricultural, and governance related programs between 2018 and 2022 and evaluates their long-term impact (out to 2040). It also includes two broader positive and negative possible trajectories in order to frame uncertainty around Mozambique’s future.

Prospects and Challenges - Mozambique’s Growth and Human Development Outlook to 2040.pdf